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Business confidence bounces back
15 October 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
The anticipation of state re-openings, backed by rising vaccination rates, saw the NAB monthly measure of business confidence jump 19 points in September, propelled by a 42 point surge in New South Wa...
Economics
COVID-19
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APRA acts on rising household debt concerns
8 October 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
Two weeks ago we flagged ‘the rising chances of a macroprudential policy intervention’ in Australia’s housing market and this week the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APR...
Economics
COVID-19
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Property market pressures
24 September 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
Property markets have been the centre of attention this week. Mostly this was due to developments around troubled Chinese property developer Evergrande. We (again) spend some time discussing this in t...
Economics
COVID-19
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Delta distorts another labour result; OECD policy advice
17 September 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
This week’s big data release was the August labour force report, where lockdowns continued to distort some of the headline data. This produced the disconcerting combination of another fall...
Economics
COVID-19
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Delta dampens global growth
10 September 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
The RBA believes that Delta will ‘delay but not derail’ the recovery. The latest data though shows that the strain is taking its toll on the global economy. Plus, poor results on the jobs front, thoug...
Economics
COVID-19
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Second quarter GDP shows pre-Delta economy in decent shape
3 September 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
The main focus this week was the June quarter GDP result. There had been some speculation that the data might deliver a surprise quarterly decline which – given that a Delta- and lockdown-driven cont...
Economics
COVID-19
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Private sector activity contracts for a second month
27 August 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
The Flash Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for Australia fell deeper into negative territory in August, hitting a 15-month low and signalling a second month of falling activity as lockdowns a...
Economics
COVID-19
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Unemployment falls even as lockdowns bite
20 August 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
The July labour force report saw the unemployment rate tumble to 4.6 per cent, its lowest rate since 2008, defying consensus forecasts of a lockdown-driven increase in joblessness. The median forecas...
Economics
COVID-19
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Consumer and business confidence drops
13 August 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
A light week on the Australian data front showed the Delta variant and state lockdowns again weighing on households and businesses. The monthly Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment...
Economics
COVID-19
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RBA cuts Dec 21 GDP to 4 per cent
6 August 2021 | Mark Thirlwell MAICD
The Reserve Bank of Australia has trimmed its forecast for GDP growth this year to 4 per cent from 4.75 per cent in the August Statement on Monetary Policy released today. The revised forecast follow...
Economics
COVID-19
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